Winning, Matthew; et al. (2018): How Low Can We Go? The Implications of Delayed Ratcheting and Negative Emissions Technologies on Achieving Well Below 2 °C
Winning, Matthew; Pye, Steve; Glynn, James; Scamman, Daniel; Welsby, Daniel (2018): How Low Can We Go? The Implications of Delayed Ratcheting and Negative Emissions Technologies on Achieving Well Below 2 °C. In George Giannakidis, Kenneth Karlsson, Maryse Labriet, Brian Ó. Gallachóir (Eds.): Limiting Global Warming to Well Below 2 °C. Energy System Modelling and Policy Development. Cham: Springer International Publishing, pp. 51–65.
"In this chapter, we consider the impacts of delaying ratcheting until 2030 on global emissions trajectories towards 2 °C and 1.5 °C, and the role of offsets via negative emissions technologies (NETs). The analysis suggests that delaying action makes pursuing the 1.5 °C goal especially difficult without extremely high levels of negative emissions technologies (NETs), such as carbon capture and storage combined with bioenergy (BECCS). Depending on the availability of biomass, other NETs beyond BECCS will be required. Policymakers must also realise that the outlook for fossil fuels are closely linked to the prospects for NETs."